Showing posts with label Tips. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tips. Show all posts

Sunday, July 10, 2011

Round 16 Wash-up; Round 15 tips


Fri 08Jul11 (my tips)
#AFLEaglesCats from 20:40 AWST @ Subi: 5.5 11.7 12.10 14.12 (96) def 4.1 6.2 11.5 13.10 (88)

Sat 09Jul11
  • #AFLHawksLions from 14:10 @ Aurora Stadium, Launnie: 5.2 6.5 10.8 16.9 (105) def 1.2 4.4 8.5 9.9 (63)
  • #AFLDonsTigers from 19:10 @ the G: 3.5 5.9 8.12 15.15 (105) def 5.1 7.6 9.9 9.12 (66)
  • #AFLSunsSwans from 19:10 @ Metricon: 1.6 3.6 3.9 4.12 (36) def by 5.4 9.7 10.12 15.16 (106)
Sun 10Jul11
  • #AFLPiesNorth from 13:10 @ the G: 4.3 10.6 16.12 22.15 (147) def 1.5 2.8 3.9 3.12 (30)
  • #AFLPortSaints from 15:10 ACST @ AAMI: 1.2 4.2 4.4 8.5 (53) def by 4.2 9.3 12.6 17.7 (109)
  • #AFLDogsBlues from 16:40 @ Etihad: 2.4 6.7 11.9 14.12 (96) def 2.7 6.9 8.11 9.15 (69)
    Another embarrassing loss to Carlton. 1/4-by-1/4 Stats (taken properly this time, although the scoring order isn't necessarily right) at http://j.mp/ntKzAb 
That puts the ladder at
Collingwood 14 13 1 0 92.86% 52 1664 924 180.09%
Geelong 15 13 2 0 86.67% 52 1550 1142 135.73%
Hawthorn 15 11 4 0 73.33% 44 1531 1164 131.53%
Carlton 15 10 4 1 66.67% 42 1532 1154 132.76%
West Coast 14 10 4 0 71.43% 40 1381 1114 123.97%
Sydney 15 8 6 1 53.33% 34 1240 1142 108.58%
Fremantle 14 8 6 0 57.14% 32 1270 1298 97.84%
Essendon 15 7 7 1 46.67% 30 1515 1378 109.94%
Western Bulldogs 15 7 8 0 46.67% 28 1347 1375 97.96%
Melbourne 14 6 7 1 42.86% 26 1290 1303 99.00%
St Kilda 14 6 7 1 42.86% 26 1136 1158 98.10%
North Melbourne 15 6 9 0 40.00% 24 1377 1440 95.62%
Richmond 15 5 9 1 33.33% 22 1430 1682 85.02%
Adelaide 14 4 10 0 28.57% 16 1065 1372 77.62%
Brisbane 15 3 12 0 20.00% 12 1173 1504 77.99%
Port Adelaide 15 2 13 0 13.33% 8 1172 1702 68.86%
Gold Coast 14 2 12 0 14.29% 8 978 1799 54.36%

Next Week: Round 17 (my tips)
Fri 15Jul11 #AFLCrowsDons @ AAMI from 20:10 ACST
Sat 16Jul11
#AFLTigersSuns @ Cazaly Stadium from 14:10
#AFLBluesPies @ the G from 14:10
#AFLSaintsEagles @ Etihad from 19:10
#AFLDeesPort @ TIO (Darwin) from 20:10 ACST
Sun 17Jul11
#AFLSwansFreo @ SCG from 13:10
#AFLLionsCats @ the Gabba from 14:10
#AFLNorthDogs @ Etihad from 16:40 
#AFLHawksBye

Sunday, July 3, 2011

AFL Round 15 wash-up; Round 16 tips

A couple of upsets this round saw my tipping take another tumble. How did you go?

Fri 01Jul11 (my tips)
#AFLDogsDees 4.5 8.9 13.10 19.13 (127) def 2.4 4.9 7.13 8.15 (63)

Sat 02Jul11
  • #AFLTigersBlues 1.4 4.6 6.8 12.9 (81) def by 5.2 11.7 20.13 28.16 (184). This is Carlton’s highest score against Richmond since Richmond entered the VFL in 1908. Before this, the biggest score against them was in the 1972 Grand Final (but Richmond got 150 points on that day!). The biggest margin against them still remains at 115 points (I’m still trying to ascertain the details of that match. When I find them, this bracketed sentence will be replaced). My ¼-by-¼ stats (but not the third quarter for some reason) are at http://bit.ly/kVTzi3
  • #AFLFreoSuns 3.2 7.2 13.5 17.10 (112) def 4.1 7.5 8.8 9.8 (62). A bit of a scare for punters at half-time, with the Suns ahead by three points. Appears, however, that whatever the Freo coach said to his charges at the main break worked, coz they then came out with 6.3 to 1.3 in the third!
  • #AFLDonsCats 4.3 8.4 13.5 18.7 (115) def 3.3 5.7 9.12 16.15 (111). A part-time Bombers-supporter I know was in town for the Tutankhamen exhibition this weekend and asked me if he should go to the match. After all, it was against Geelong and they weren’t expected to win. I said that, as a full-time Carlton supporter, the only other time I’ve seen my boys win (apart from at the SCG in April) was at the NAB Cup when we beat the Swans by 100 points; we actually plan holidays and social occasions around the fixture! I think that gent will be a happy man when I speak to him on Monday!
  • #AFLCrowsSwans 2.1 3.4 5.5 8.9 (57) def 3.1 4.5 4.10 6.14 (50). With shooting like this, the Swans deserved not to win!
Sun 03Jul11
  • #AFLLionsPort 4.1 7.3 13.5 15.9 (99) def 4.2 8.5 13.6 13.10 (88). "somehow I don’t think I’m going to get this one" was my comment this morning, and I was right (if I'd have changed the tip, though, the result would have been different!)
  • #AFLPiesHawks 4.4 8.7 13.10 15.16 (106) def 0.4 2.4 6.6 9.11 (65). "Should be a sitter for the Pies" was my earlier comment, and the headline as I turned on to update this was "Magpies brush Hawks aside".  
  • #AFLNorthSaints 3.2 7.3 9.6 10.10 (70) def by 3.4 10.5 12.7 12.7 (79). I had said earlier that, "Neither side is having that good a run at the moment, but the Roos have pulled out a couple of surprises in recent weeks." Unfortunately the Saints did the pulling today (again with the 20/20 hindsight), despite being kept scoreless in the last. That brought my tipping down to 3 from 8! Bleaghh!! 
That makes the ladder
Geelong               52           14           13           1              0              139.77%
Collingwood       48           13           12           1              0              169.69%
Carlton                42           14           10           3              1              138.28%
Hawthorn            40           14           10           4              0              129.52%
West Coast         36           13           9              4              0              125.24%
Fremantle           32           14           8              6              0              97.84%
Sydney                30           14           7              6              1              102.53%
Essendon             26           14           6              7              1              107.47%
Melbourne            26           14           6              7              1              99.00%
North Melbourne  24           14           6              8              0              104.18%
Western Bulldogs 24           14           6              8              0              95.79%
St Kilda               22           13           5              7              1              92.94%
Richmond           22           14           5              8              1              86.49%
Adelaide              16           14           4              10           0              77.62%
Brisbane              12           14           3              11           0              79.34%
Port Adelaide    8              14           2              12           0              70.24%
Gold Coast          8              13           2              11           0              55.64% 

Next week (Round 16)
Fri 08Jul11 (my tips)
#AFLEaglesCats from 20:40 AWST @ Subi

Sat 09Jul11
  • #AFLHawksLions from 14:10 @ Aurora Stadium, Launnie
  • #AFLDonsTigers from 19:10 @ the G – I would like to think that the Dons will continue their winning ways, but by the same token the Tiges will have a lot to prove after this week’s shellacking by the Blues!
  • #AFLSunsSwans from 19:10 @ Metricon – the Swans won’t embarrass themselves by losing this one
Sun 10Jul11
  • #AFLPiesNorth from 13:10 @ the G
  • #AFLPortSaints from 15:10 ACST @ AAMI – Neither Port nor Saints are doing well this year. Saints should get this one
  • #AFLDogsBlues from 16:40 @ Etihad
Three-way bye next week (Adelaide, Fremantle, Melbourne) means a bye in Dream Team


Happy Apple Pie Day for tomorrow!

Sunday, June 26, 2011

AFL Round 14 wash-up; Round 15 tips


#AFLRound14 (my tip)
Friday
#AFLHawksDons @ the G – 23.8 (146) def 12.9 (81)
Saturday
#AFLSunsDogs @ Metricon – 13.10 (88) def by 17.8 (110)
#AFLTigesDees @ the G – 13.13 (91) def by 17.16 (118)
#AFLSwansPies @ ANZ - 14.9 (93) def by 13.21 (96)
#AFLFreoLions @ Subi – 12.16 (88) def 10.5 (65)
Sunday
#AFLCrowsCats @ Skilled – 19.11 (125) def 10.13 (73)
#AFLBluesEagles @ Etihad – 10.7 (76) def by 15.13 (103) : Full 1/4-by-1/4 stats at http://bit.ly/kF3uX9 ... when I say quarter-by-quarter, I mean pretty soon after the next quarter began. Sorry
#AFLPortNorth @ AAMI – 14.7 (91) def by 21.10 (136)

#AFLRound13 (my tips)
Friday
#AFLDogsNorth @ Etihad from 19:40
Saturday
#AFLTigesBlues @ the G from 14:10
#AFLFreoSuns @ Subi from 15:10 AEST
#AFLDonsCats @ Etihad from 19:10
#AFLCrowsSwans @ AAMI from 19:40 AEST
Sunday
#AFLLionsPort @ the Gabba from 13:10
#AFLPiesHawks @ the G from 14:10
#AFLNorthSaints @ Etihad from 16:40

I have the ladder as
GEE         13           -              -              1,314     968        135.74%               52
COL        11           1              -              1,393     882        157.94%               44
HAW      10           3              -              1,327     1,003    132.30%               40
CAR        9              3              1              1,311     967        135.57%               38
WCE       9              4              -              1,182     959        123.25%               36
SYD        7              5              1              1,101     1,038    106.07%               30
FRE         7              6              -              1,195     1,244    96.06%                 28
MEL       6              6              1              1,245     1,176    105.87%               26
NM        6              7              -              1,232     1,259    97.86%                 24
ESS         5              7              1              1,302     1,120    116.25%               22
RIC         5              7              1              1,281     1,275    100.47%               22
WB         5              8              -              1,075     1,252    85.86%                 20
STK         4              7              1              1,041     1,134    91.80%                 18
ADE        3              10           -              1,038     1,292    80.34%                 12
BRI         2              10           -              1,011     1,311    77.12%                 8
PTA        2              11           -              1,029     1,470    70.00%                 8
GCS        2              10           -              938         1,552    60.44%                 8

Sunday, June 19, 2011

AFL Round 13 round-up and Round 14 tips

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Friday, June 17, 2011

#AFLDogsCrows Results and Report


The home-side went into this match as clear-cut favourites, with betting as far down as $1.33 and the visitors out to $3.90. But the Crows were determined not to be the whipees tonight as they soon got that live betting-odds worm facing the other way with goals to Tippett (2), McKernan, Vince, and Wright, and one to Rory Sloan in the last 8sec of the opening stanza. The score at the first break
Western Bulldogs 2.4 16 [goals to Griffen and Murphy] (betting out to $2.24)
Adelaide 6.2 38 (betting into $1.67)

The Crows led for the whole of the second quarter but we started seeing more from the Dogs than we had for the rest of the year! By the main break the Sons of the West were into $1.35 while the Pride of SA were out to $3.50 and the scores were
Western Bulldogs 6.9 45
Adelaide 7.5 47

Goals in the first half came from Giansiracusa (2), Sherman, Barlow, Griffen, and Murphy for the Dogs, and Tippett (2), McKernan, Sloane, Knights, Vince, and Wright for the Crows.  Major home-team ball-winners were Griffen, Ward  (17), Cross  (16), Murphy (13), Gia, and Boyd (12), and Henderson  (17), Thompson (16), Otten (13) and Symes (12) for the out-of-towners.

The Dogs took the lead after the twenty-minute mark of the third quarter, coming to within a point, and not looking like getting ahead, in the first ten minutes. The bookies had this turn-over on the cards, with the betting never being less than $1.40 for the home side once they were favoured, and comments on Twitter like, “The Crows are playing so shit they are making the Dogs look good” giving a dandy description of what the bookies saw coming! By the last break, the Dogs were into $1.18 but the Crows were out to $6 with a score-line of
Western Bulldogs 10.12 72 [Gia now has 4 and Sherman 2]
Adelaide 9.7 61  [goals to Schmidt and Otten]

Ten minutes into the last the Dogs were ahead 80-62, with the smart money getting short returns ($1.03 vs $20). Adelaide had a few quick stabs at getting back into the game (and the books) landing their tenth goal just inside the last seconds of the match. In the end, though, pride in the home-state just wasn’t enough. 

Final Scores
Western Bulldogs 2.4 6.9 10.12 14.16 (100)
Adelaide 6.2 7.5 9.7 10.10 (70)

Scorers
Western Bulldogs – Giansiracusa 4.1; Sherman 3.2; Griffen 2.0; Barlow 1.3; Minson, Wood, Dalhaus 1.1; Murphy 1.0; Jones, rushed 0.3; Djerrkura, Ward 0.1       
Adelaide – Tippett 3.2; McKernan 1.2; Sloane 1.1; Knights, Vince, Schmidt, Otten, Wright 1.0; rushed 0.2; Dangerfield, Henderson, Gunston 0.1

Key stats
Possessions 366:331 – C Ward, S Thompson 29
Tackles 68:56 – S Thompson 7; J Sherman, P Dangerfield 6
Hit-outs 25:34 – S Jacobs 23; W Minson, B Hudson 12
Frees 29:18

Monday, June 13, 2011

#AFLDeesPies: Results, Report; #AFLRound12 outcomes; #AFLRound13 tips


Full-time at the G and the Ds fell in a mess after the first break, with the final score

Melbourne 2.2 3.5 5.5 6.5 (41)
Collingwood  3.6 9.7 11.10 19.15 (124)

Scorers for the hapless Demons
Colin Sylvia 4.0
Liam Jurrah 1.1
Jeremy Howe 1.0
Brad Green 0.2
rushed behinds 0.2


Scorers for the defending Premiers
Travis Cloke 6.1
Andrew Krakouer 2.1
Luke Ball, Scott Pendlebury 2.0
Chris Dawes 1.3
Lee Brown, Jarryd Blair 1.2
Alan Didak, Sharrod Wellingham, John McCarthy 1.1
Alex Fasolo 1.0 (that goal came from his first kick in AFL footy)
Heath Shaw 0.1
rushed behinds 0.2


Outcome of my tips = http://twitpic.com/5ayhuy


That makes the ladder
Geelong              11           11          0              0              100.00% 44           1126       786         143.26%
Collingwood        11           10           1              0              90.91%  40          1312       736         178.26%
Carlton               11           8              2              1              72.73%  34          1112       808         137.62%
Hawthorn           11           8              3              0              72.73%  32          1086       856         126.87%
Sydney              11           7              3              1              63.64%  30          925         850         108.82%
West Coast        11           7              4              0              63.64%  28          1072       871         123.08%
Fremantle           11           6              5              0              54.55%  24          1010       1022       98.83%
Essendon           11           5              5              1              45.45%  22          1124       944         119.07%
St Kilda               11           4              6              1              36.36%  18          876         935         93.69%
Melbourne        11           4              6              1              36.36%  18          960         1025       93.66%
Richmond            11           4              6              1              36.36%  18          1067       1181       90.35%
North Melbourne 11           4              7              0              36.36%  16          1030       1033       99.71%
Western Bulldogs 11           3              8              0              27.27%  12          914         1085       84.24%
Adelaide             11           3              8              0              27.27%  12          865         1097       78.85%
Brisbane             11           2              9              0              18.18%  8             852         1098       77.60%
Port Adelaide   11           2              9              0              18.18%  8             852         1248       68.27%
Gold Coast         10           2              8              0              20.00%  8             734         1342       54.69%

Next week we have
Friday
#AFLDogsCrows @ Etihad - WIll have to check the hoodoos before putting my tips in 

Saturday
#AFLHawksSuns @ Aurora - Hawks
#AFLDonsNorth @ Etihad - See below: North
#AFLLionsTigers @ the Gabba - Tigers
#AFLSaintsCats @ the G - Geelong


Sunday
#AFLDeesFreo @ the G - Fremantle
#AFLBluesSwans @ Etihad - again with the hoodoos: I reckon the Swans have that edge, but Carlton has the edge!
#AFLEaglesPort @ Subi - Weagles


Bye
Collingwood


my tips = http://twitpic.com/5ayi7o

Sunday, June 12, 2011

#AFLFreoDons Results and Report

What. The. Hell.

OK, Essendon and Fremantle were 7th and 8th coming into this contest, and feeling was that the Bombers would come away with the points. But rumblings on Twitter during the first quarter were that the visitors had a lot of work to do to even look like making a fist of it, with a score-line of 1.1 to 6.3 at the first break.

The rest of the game appears to have run the same course, with the Dons kicking 1.5, 3.1, and 4.3 in the next three quarters, in answer to the Dockers' 3.1, 4.2, 2.2. The final scores

Fremantle 6.3 9.4 13.6 15.8 (98)
Essendon 1.1 2.6 5.7 9.10 (64)

Scorers for the Dockers
M.Pavlich 3.1
H.Ballentine 2.2
M.Johnson 2.1
R.Crowley, T.Mzungu 2.0
K.Bradley 1.1
J.Griffin, C.Mayne, N.Fyfe 1.0
P.Duffield, Z.Clarke 0.1
rushed behinds 0.1

Scorers for the Dons
P.Ryder 4.0
L.Jetta 2.0
M.Hurley, T.Colyer 1.1
N.Lovett-Murray 1.0
D.Hille, H.Slattery, D.Myers, B.Howlett 0.1
rushed behinds 0.4

Next week, Fremantle (7th) has the Demons (currently 9th but facing the Pies tomorrow) in Melbourne, which could really go either way but I'll be backing the Ds. Essendon (now 8th) has North (now 12th) which by all rights they should win, but with all that seems to be going on, they probably won't. My tip'll be with the Kangas.

So what is happening at Windy Hill?! Up until Round 9 I considered them a contender for the top 4 with Carlton, the Cats, and the Pies, and think I've tweeted as much. Essendon have come up against a mixed-bag until then, facing
R1 Bulldogs 55pt win
R2 Swans 5pt loss
R3 Saints 52pt win
R4 Blues draw
R5 Pies 30pt loss
R6 Suns 139pt win
R7 Eagles 16pt win
R8 Lions 36pt win

But, for mine, the slide began in R9 with their 16 point loss to Richmond. You can read all the whats and whyfors in the paper: I didn't see it, but after the bye, they faced, and lost to, Melbourne by 33 points. The Dockers were an either-or proposition, and proved to be an or with this loss.

Can Hirdy pull something dramatic out of the fire, or is he, like Vossy, going to be looking for a new gig next year? Time will tell.