Friday, May 31, 2013

Carlton v GWS Giants 20130601 @ Etihad Stadium from 1345 - hopefully with vision on #7mate from 1330

Some interesting numbers trying to find the balance between the two sides tomorrow afternoon:

Carlton

GWS Giants
team stats

team stats
2
Players over 30

          -  
2
Players over 30

1
Players under 20

-8
9
Players under 20

8
Players w/100+ games
7
1
Players w/100+ games
2
Players w/200+ games
2
          -  
Players w/200+ games
4
Players w/up to 10 games
          -  
4
Players w/up to 10 games
86.320
Average games

50.0283
36.2917
Average games

24.673
Average age

2.7414
21.9317
Average age


These are simply numbers that I generate every week to give some indication of the stronger team. You'll see them on my weekly summary of the game on Facey, Twitter, and Google+ after each match. 
  1. Carlton only has one player under the age of 20 years, being Troy Menzel, but he may not even get a Guernsey, having been named as an emergency player (he may be used to replace an injured player as late as first-bounce)
  2. Carlton has seven players with in excess of 100 games’ experience: two of them (Chris Judd and Heath Scotland) have more than 200 games’ experience- the most experienced player from GWS is Dean Brogan with 189 games, and he’ll be starting on the bench
  3. On average, the current Carlton side (including the emergencies) has more than 50 games’ experience than the GWS side

The only balanced stats are older-players (two each over 30), younger players (4 each with 10 games’ experience or less) and age (Carlton averages 24y 9mo, GWS averages 21y 340days)

There is so much else tipping the scales without becoming Tom Waterhouse, but given Carlton’s recent performance with teams toward the bottom of the ladder (even while they were down there themselves earlier this year) it will be an interesting game! It should also be on FTA tele!!


peterg
31/5/13 15:43 AEST

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

The Ds Woes continue


Absolutely thumped by relative newcomers Gold Coast Suns, the Ds ran in 7 goals to the Suns’ 16 in a game whose score-line finished at

Melbourne: 0.2 3.7 4.10 7.12 (54), Gold Coast: 5.5 9.8 14.12 16.18 (114)

Melbourne scorers
Jeremy Howe 3.3
Max Gawn 2.1 [with only 10 touches]
Col Sylvia 1.1 [who also had 24 touches]
James Strauss 1.0 [with 13 touches]
Nathan Jones 0.3 [co-captain for the afternoon, with 20 touches]
Aaron Davey, M.Evans, J.Spencer 0.1, and
Matt Jones 0.1 [who also had 25 touches]

Gold Coast scorers
Cam Brown 3.3
Zac Smith 3.0
Aaron Hall 2.3
Tom Lynch 2.2
Harley Bennell 1.3 [with 32 possessions]
Steven May 1.1
Sam Day, Jarrod Harbrow, and Trent McKenzie, 1.0
Matt Shaw 1.0 [with 27 possessions]
Jared Brennan, J.Lonergan, 0.1
Jaeger O’Meara 0.1 [with 23 possessions]
While Gary Ablett, still rated as the best player in the League, got 38 possessions

A little while ago, it was decided that the CEO at Demon HQ should step aside. Cameron Schwab was quite divisive within the club, which wasn’t what they needed during arguably the darkest period of a once-great club. Founded in 1868 as the first Australian Football club and inaugural/foundation member of the VFA (VFL after 1897), the Ds boast 11 flags, most notably 5 from six grand finals 1955-1960. They even made a foray into the finals at the end of both the 20th Century and the career of club great and media footy-guru Garry Lyon, and again 2004-2006 under Neale Daniher.

So what’s going on? The accusation of tanking[1] has been investigated and dismissed … there’s now allegations of illicit drugs and player doping. In a number of articles pundits, former players, and more informed footy supporters than myself are asking the same questions. Chris Dawes says of his departure from Melbourne that the guys just don’t want to improve, although Jakus says there is definitely talent there, but “insipid” performances of late question the wont for them to want to do well.

And former player David Schwarz says that the Ds are in danger of becoming the next Fitzroy [2], despite being in a stronger position 3-4 years ago than the Punt Road up-and-comers whose struggles appear to be finally over, and now Melbourne are another 6-7 years away from where the Tigers are now. And the fans are faring no better, many of whom have been brandishing white flags at recent matches.

Dr Bibotelli suggests that the divisions within the club go back to the infamous Norm Smith incident of 1965. Things certainly weren’t going that well when club legend Jim Stynes was at the helm, either.   

At least the appointment of Peter Jackson to the head of the club, with his ready-to-wield machete, promises big things.

Ds supporters can only hope, anyway, and this comes from the supporter and member of another once-great club who have had many promises since our dark times of the mid-to-late 00s. 

peterg
15May13



References
Bibotelli, D. (2013). Melbourne Demons: How did it come to this? | Unambitious Us. Retrieved from http://www.unambitiousus.com/sports/melbourne-demons-how-did-it-come-to-this/

Buckle, G. and Vaughan, R. (2013). Club champion David Schwarz says Melbourne Demons are on the verge of becoming next Fitzroy | AFL | Fox Sports. Retrieved from http://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/afl-premiership/club-champion-david-schwarz-says-melbourne-demons-are-on-verge-of-becoming-next-fitzroy/story-e6frf3e3-1226641557167#.UZNUn7XI2So

Jakus. (2013). Melbourne Demons just not playing for Mark Neeld | The Roar. Retrieved from http://www.theroar.com.au/2013/05/14/melbourne-demons-just-not-playing-for-neeld/

(2013). Melbourne Demons News. Retrieved from http://www.footywire.com/club/sports/team-melbourne-demons-news.html

Spits, S. (2013). Stynes not tarnished by tanking, widow says | Samantha Stynes. The Age: Real Footy, 19 February 2013. Retrieved from http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-news/stynes-not-tarnished-by-tanking-widow-says-20130219-2eoed.html

[1] Tanking is the term for deliberately throwing matches and/or playing badly in order to finish low on the ladder and therefore get better choices during draft season.
[2] Fitzroy Lions, another foundation club, hit the skids during the 1990s and were merged with then-newcomers Brisbane Bears to become the Brisbane Lions in 1996. Apparently the Ds and Hawks were close to merging at the time, as well, but that was KO’d by Hawthorn’s rank and file.